Prediction Markets

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Claude

Gemini

DeepSeek market share this week

Above 24.7%

Above 25.0%

OpenAI market share this week

Above 19.2%

Above 20.5%

Best AI this week

Gemini

Claude

When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1?

Before Nov 13, 2026

Before Nov 6, 2026

Google market share this week

Above 18.0%

Above 18.5%

Best AI in Oct 2026?

Gemini

Claude

Next Gemini Pro model release

Before Dec 1, 2026

Before Nov 16, 2026

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 17.9%

Above 16.5%

Anthropic market share this week

Above 4.0%

Above 4.5%

Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 14, 2026

Above 56.2%

Above 60.9%

DeepSeek share of requests on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 13.4%

Above 14.0%

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Anthropic

OpenAI

Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

At least 60%

At least 65%

Top AI model this week

gemini-4-argon-high

claude-opus-5.5-high

Top AI model this month

gemini-4-argon-high

claude-opus-5.5-high

Meta vs OpenAI: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026

Meta

Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?

Gemini

Claude

Where will Waymo operate in 2026?

Tampa, FL

Yes

Las Vegas, NV

Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score

above 1490

above 1495

Tesla Optimus released this year?

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 14, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 15.7%

Above 16.4%

Alibaba vs Xiaomi: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026

Alibaba

Xiaomi

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 14, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 5.0%

Above 9.9%

OpenAI share of requests on Oct 14, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 24.9%

Above 24.1%

Moonshot AI share of spend on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 8.5%

Above 15.0%

Anthropic vs Google: Highest Arena Score at the end of 2026

Anthropic

Google

Anthropic share of spend on Oct 16, 2026 (Vercel)

Above 33.5%

Above 35.3%

Top Chinese AI Company week of October 19th

Xiaomi

Alibaba

When will any company achieve AGI?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Oct 1, 2027

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